Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 8Kick-off on February 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 2-0 on February 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. GallardoToluca (pen.)
- 16′J. DíazToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Club America(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara Chivas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy