Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 8Kick-off on February 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 2-0 on February 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. GallardoToluca (pen.)
- 16′J. DíazToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 29J. Díaz
- 10J. Angulo
- 19S. Simón
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1- 34A. González
- 10E. Álvarez
- 25R. Alvarado
- 5B. González
- 23D. Aguirre
- 28R. González
- 37R. Ledezma
- 2J. Castillo
- 7L. Romo
- 19D. Campillo
- 1J. Rangel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Club America(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 2 Guadalajara Chivas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.2 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 5th in Liga MX (24 points from 15 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 24 |
A question about Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy