Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca: result 0-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 01:07 AM (UTC)Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
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What was the result of Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-3 on September 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′PaulinhoToluca
- 24′J. GallardoToluca
- 56′A. VegaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara Chivas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Club America(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Orlando City SC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 17, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guadalajara Chivas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara Chivas score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy