Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 17Kick-off on November 3, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Guadalajara Chivas won 1-3 on November 3, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 13′F. PardoToluca
- 33′J. LópezGuadalajara Chivas
- 37′A. PulidoGuadalajara Chivas
- 77′A. PulidoGuadalajara Chivas
Official lineup for Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-4-2- 9E. Gigliotti
- 30L. Hernández
- 11F. Mancuello
- 10Diego Rigonato
- 17F. Pardo
- 8William Fernando da Silva
- 6A. Chalá
- 26G. Sauro
- 29Rodrigo Salinas Dorantes
- 5J. Maidana
- 1A. Talavera
Guadalajara Chivas
4-2-3-1- 7A. Vega
- 17J. Sánchez
- 9A. Pulido
- 11I. Brizuela
- 26F. Beltrán
- 10J. López
- 20J. Molina
- 185G. Sepúlveda
- 16M. Ponce
- 21H. Mier
- 4A. Rodríguez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2019 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2019 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Veracruz(away) | 1-0 | Copa MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Veracruz(home) | 2-0 | Copa MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2019 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2019 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2019 | Monterrey(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 2-0 | Copa MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca wins, 5 draws, 1 Guadalajara Chivas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Toluca 2-2 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jan 7, 2018 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 23, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 21, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 19, 2017 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Jan 21, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 4th in Liga MX (22 points from 13 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 22 |
A question about Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy