Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on August 23, 2020 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 1-0 on August 23, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 60′D. GonzálezToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2020 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2020 | Atlas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2020 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2020 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Leon(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara Chivas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Toluca 1-3 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Toluca 2-2 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jan 7, 2018 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 23, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Jan 26, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy