Toluca vs Leon: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 30, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca won 3-1 on July 30, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 40′F. UribeToluca
- 44′F. UribeToluca
- 48′R. SambuezaToluca
- 80′M. BoselliLeon (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leon have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 21, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 19, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2017 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2017 | Santos Laguna(away) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2017 | Atlas(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| May 7, 2017 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Monarcas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Leon 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Toluca 1-1 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Leon | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy