Toluca vs Tigres UANL: result 3-4 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 3Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Tigres UANL?
Tigres UANL won 3-4 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′PaulinhoToluca
- 21′F. PereiraTigres UANL (o.g.)
- 35′O. HerreraTigres UANL
- 45′N. IbáñezTigres UANL
- 58′N. IbáñezTigres UANL
- 88′J. GallardoToluca
- 90′M. RuizToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Tigres UANL have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2025 | Club America(away) | 3-1 | Campeón de Campeones |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Santos Laguna(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| May 26, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 23, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2025 | Toluca(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Toluca(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2025 | Necaxa(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Toluca 3-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toluca 1-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Tigres UANL on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy