Match

Tona vs Grama: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Tona, Tona

TonaGrama

The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Grama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tona vs Grama?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Tona (1,759) and Grama (1,829).

Tona win36 %
Draw30 %
Grama win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tona have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Grama have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026L'Escala(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Vilassar Mar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Mollerussa(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026San Cristóbal(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Cornellà(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Grama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Manresa(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Vilassar Mar(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Mollerussa(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026San Cristóbal(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Cornellà(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tona win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Grama win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Grama 2-2 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 28, 2025Tona 1-3 GramaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 6, 2025Grama 0-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 24, 2024Tona 0-2 GramaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 10, 2024Grama 3-1 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 22, 2023Tona 2-0 GramaTercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Grama vs Tona on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grama score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tona1.20.967/156/15
Grama1.60.778/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tona sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (45 points from 34 matches) and Grama sit 5th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Grama3414138493554
9Tona3410159353145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tona vs Grama?
The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Grama.
Where and when is Tona vs Grama played?
Tona vs Grama is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Tona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tona and Grama

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