Tondela vs Arouca: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
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What was the result of Tondela vs Arouca?
Arouca won 0-1 on March 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 72′MateusArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tondela have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Arouca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | Moreirense(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Maritimo(home) | 3-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Estoril(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Belenenses(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2016 | U. Madeira(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 7, 2016 | FC Porto(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tondela win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | Arouca 1-1 Tondela | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tondela score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Arouca | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy