Torquay vs Morecambe: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
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What was the result of Torquay vs Morecambe?
Torquay and Morecambe drew 1-1 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 62′Lee MansellTorquay
- 82′Kevin Keith EllisonMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Morecambe have 7, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Rotherham(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Macclesfield(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2011 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Crawley Town(home) | 6-0 | League Two |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 12; Morecambe score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/12 | 8/12 |
| Morecambe | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/12 | 5/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy