Torrent vs Utiel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Gregorio, Torrent
The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Utiel. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrent vs Utiel?
Torrent starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrent have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Utiel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Girona II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Alzira(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RC Catarroja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Torrent score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Utiel score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrent | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Utiel | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Utiel | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 45 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrent vs Utiel?
- The Footlab model makes Torrent the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Utiel.
- Where and when is Torrent vs Utiel played?
- Torrent vs Utiel is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Gregorio, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.