Roda vs Saguntino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Saguntino the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saguntino wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Saguntino?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Roda (1,746) and Saguntino (1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Roda vs Saguntino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Roda
Not enough data to predict the Roda lineup.
Saguntino
Not enough data to predict the Saguntino lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Saguntino have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-4 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roda win, 3 draws, 2 Saguntino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Saguntino 1-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Roda 2-4 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Saguntino 0-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Roda 3-0 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2022 | Roda 0-2 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Saguntino 2-2 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Saguntino score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Saguntino | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (9 points from 6 matches) and Saguntino sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Saguntino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Roda vs Saguntino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Saguntino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saguntino the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Roda.
- Where and when is Roda vs Saguntino played?
- Roda vs Saguntino is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.