Roda vs Saguntino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Saguntino the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Saguntino?
Saguntino starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Saguntino have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Soneja(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buñol(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roda win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Saguntino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Saguntino 1-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Roda 2-4 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Saguntino 0-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Roda 3-0 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2022 | Roda 0-2 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Saguntino 2-2 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Saguntino score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Saguntino | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (40 points from 34 matches) and Saguntino sit 2nd (66 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Saguntino | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 30 | 66 |
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 45 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Saguntino?
- The Footlab model makes Saguntino the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Roda.
- Where and when is Roda vs Saguntino played?
- Roda vs Saguntino is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.