Toulouse vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
The Footlab model makes Toulouse the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulouse vs Stade Brestois 29?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Toulouse (1,972) and Stade Brestois 29 (1,937).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toulouse win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stade Brestois 29 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 0-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Toulouse 2-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Toulouse 2-4 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Toulouse 0-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 15th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stade Brestois 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulouse vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab model makes Toulouse the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Toulouse vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Toulouse vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium de Toulouse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.