Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Brestois 29 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient?
On Elo ratings, Stade Brestois 29 has 1,986 points and Lorient 2,044.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Brestois 29 have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Lorient have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stade Brestois 29 wins, 2 draws, 1 Lorient win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lorient 3-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Lorient 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Lorient 0-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 4-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2023 | Lorient 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Brestois 29 sit 7th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Lorient sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Brestois 29 the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient played?
- Stade Brestois 29 vs Lorient is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.