Lorient vs Nice: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab model makes Lorient the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Nice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Nice?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Lorient (2,010) and Nice (1,957).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nice have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Elversberg(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UNFP(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lorient win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Nice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nice 0-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Lorient 0-0 Nice | Coupe de France |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Nice 3-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Lorient 3-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Nice 3-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Lorient 1-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nice score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nice | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 10th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Nice sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Nice?
- The Footlab model makes Lorient the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Nice.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Nice played?
- Lorient vs Nice is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.