Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Trabzonspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Kocaelispor 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-0 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Trabzonspor on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor played?
- Trabzonspor vs Kocaelispor is played on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.