Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenerbahçe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,056 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,198 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 17J. Rak-Sakyi
- 10H. Hajradinović
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 45A. Karapo
- 4A. Arous
- 1A. Gianniotis
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 9R. Lukaku
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 91N. Kanté
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 70O. Aydın
- 11M. Greenwood
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 37M. Škriniar
- 22L. Mercan
- 3A. Brown
- 31Ederson
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Fenerbahçe have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 3-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 4-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kasımpaşa wins, 2 draws, 4 Fenerbahçe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 1-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 3-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 0-3 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 0-2 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Fenerbahçe 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 4th in Süper Lig (20 points from 11 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 8th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kasımpaşa | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe is played on December 20, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.