Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Markets Field, Limerick
The Footlab model makes Treaty United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cobh Ramblers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Treaty United (1,312) and Cobh Ramblers (1,357).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treaty United have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cobh Ramblers have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | UCD(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kerry(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-2 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Treaty United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cobh Ramblers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers 2-0 Treaty United | First Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Treaty United 1-2 Cobh Ramblers | First Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers 4-0 Treaty United | First Division |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers 1-1 Treaty United | First Division |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Treaty United 1-0 Cobh Ramblers | First Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers 3-0 Treaty United | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Treaty United score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cobh Ramblers score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treaty United | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treaty United sit 10th in First Division (16 points from 20 matches) and Cobh Ramblers sit 4th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 40 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers?
- The Footlab model makes Treaty United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cobh Ramblers.
- Where and when is Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers played?
- Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Markets Field, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.