Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
The Footlab AI model makes Bray Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Finn Harps. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bray Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
Bray Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,417 vs 1,190).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Finn Harps
4-3-3- 7Benny
- 44S. Bradley
- 16B. Bosakani
- 18C. Harkin
- 14D. Coyle
- 10T. McNamee
- 23F. Mckenlay
- 6Joel Bradley-Walsh
- 5O. Brogan
- 2J. Cullen
- 1C. Sheridan
Bray Wanderers
4-3-3- 21Endri Mustali
- 20T. Sammy
- 11I. Achara
- 18B. McCormack
- 17A. Oluwabiyi
- 6J. B. Sesay
- 12D. Osagie
- 27D. O'Shea
- 4J. Duggan
- 3B. Fagbemi
- 13R. Hogan
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Bray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 1-4 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | UCD(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kerry(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Finn Harps wins, 1 draw, 3 Bray Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bray Wanderers 5-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Finn Harps 0-1 Bray Wanderers | FAI Cup |
| May 4, 2026 | Finn Harps 2-1 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bray Wanderers 2-2 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bray Wanderers 3-2 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Finn Harps 3-1 Bray Wanderers | FAI Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finn Harps sit 10th in First Division (25 points from 34 matches) and Bray Wanderers sit 2nd (53 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 53 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 68 | 25 |
A question about Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bray Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Finn Harps.
- Where and when is Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers played?
- Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Finn Park, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.