Kerry vs Cork City: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cork City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kerry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cork City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kerry vs Cork City?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Kerry (1,495) and Cork City (1,503).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kerry vs Cork City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kerry
4-3-3- 7Sean McGrath
- 10C. Murphy
- 17Cian Brosnan
- 24V. Borden
- 28Niall Brookwell
- 35Arran Healy
- 14J. Häkkinen
- 3S. O'Connell
- 18S. Aladesanusi
- 29E. Lee
- 1Matthew Connor
Cork City
4-3-3- 9R. Keating
- 24S. Maguire
- 15C. Drinan
- 39C. Murphy
- 6G. Bolger
- 14N. O'Keeffe
- 28R. Feely
- 17D. Crowley
- 4F. Kelleher
- 5C. Lyons
- 1C. Brann
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kerry have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cork City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | UCD(home) | 5-1 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 2-3 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kerry win, 0 draws, 5 Cork City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cork City 3-1 Kerry | First Division |
| May 4, 2026 | Kerry 1-0 Cork City | First Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cork City 4-2 Kerry | First Division |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Cork City 4-1 Kerry | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Kerry 1-4 Cork City | First Division |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Cork City 2-0 Kerry | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Kerry score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cork City score 2.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Cork City | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kerry sit 4th in First Division (51 points from 35 matches) and Cork City sit 1st (74 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 35 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 34 | 74 |
| 4 | Kerry | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 51 |
A question about Kerry vs Cork City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kerry vs Cork City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cork City the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Kerry.
- Where and when is Kerry vs Cork City played?
- Kerry vs Cork City is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC), in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.