Wexford vs UCD: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ferrycarrig Park, Newcastle, Crossabeg
The Footlab AI model makes Wexford the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for UCD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wexford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wexford vs UCD?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Wexford (1,281) and UCD (1,379).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wexford vs UCD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wexford
4-3-3- 7M. Rowe
- 33J. Doyle
- 17G. Tetteh
- 15Ryan Ritchie
- 11J. Wynne
- 6R. Bartley
- 26K. Dignam
- 5R. McCourt
- 2M. Murphy
- 25R. Butler
- 20P. Martin
UCD
4-3-3- 24S. Norval
- 15Charles Akinrintayo
- 25G. Lavin
- 11H.Smith
- 8L. Dignam
- 12M. Alonge
- 3L. Cailloce
- 6A. Wells
- 14H. Curtis
- 18N. Holohan
- 1D. Kavanagh
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wexford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; UCD have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 3-3 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Kerry(away) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 1-5 | First Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wexford win, 1 draw, 4 UCD wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCD 4-1 Wexford | First Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Wexford 2-1 UCD | First Division |
| Apr 6, 2026 | UCD 0-0 Wexford | First Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Wexford 0-3 UCD | First Division |
| Aug 8, 2025 | UCD 1-0 Wexford | First Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Wexford 0-1 UCD | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Wexford score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| UCD | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wexford sit 8th in First Division (42 points from 35 matches) and UCD sit 3rd (53 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UCD | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 49 | 53 |
| 8 | Wexford | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 53 | 42 |
A question about Wexford vs UCD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wexford vs UCD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wexford the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for UCD.
- Where and when is Wexford vs UCD played?
- Wexford vs UCD is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ferrycarrig Park, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.