Treowen Stars vs Baglan Dragons: result 4-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 21Kick-off on March 17, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Treowen Stars vs Baglan Dragons?
Treowen Stars won 4-1 on March 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′C. HartlandTreowen Stars
- 44′635635Baglan Dragons
- 47′C. HartlandTreowen Stars
- 65′647833Treowen Stars
- 86′S. RobertsTreowen Stars
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Treowen Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 3-4 Treowen Stars | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars on Oct 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Treowen Stars score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Baglan Dragons sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2026Carmarthen Town1-1Llantwit Major
- Jan 30, 2026Pontypridd Town2-0Afan Lido
- Jan 30, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds2-0Cwmbran Celtic
- Jan 31, 2026Newport City0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Feb 7, 2026Caerau (Ely)3-1Ammanford AFC
- Mar 17, 2026Trefelin0-4Cambrian & Clydach
- Mar 24, 2026Cardiff Draconians4-1Ynyshir Albions