Treowen Stars vs Caerau (Ely): result 0-5 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Treowen Stars vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 0-5 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
- 45′Z. MaherCaerau (Ely)
- 58′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
- 70′635555Caerau (Ely)
- 78′L. BishopCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 2 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Penydarren BGC(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Treowen Stars score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 13; Caerau (Ely) score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/13 | 10/13 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Treowen Stars | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 17, 2025Caerau (Ely)2-1Baglan Dragons
- Sep 26, 2025Ammanford AFC1-1Pontypridd Town
- Sep 26, 2025Cwmbran Celtic2-2Trethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 27, 2025Carmarthen Town1-0Newport City
- Sep 27, 2025Llantwit Major0-2Cardiff Draconians
- Sep 27, 2025Afan Lido0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Sep 27, 2025Ynyshir Albions0-5Trefelin
- Sep 27, 2025Baglan Dragons0-1Cambrian & Clydach