Match

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely): result 2-4 and analysis

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 3Kick-off on August 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly

Trethomas Bluebirds
2-4
Caerau (Ely)

Full time

What was the result of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Caerau (Ely) won 2-4 on August 14, 2026.

Goalscorers

  • 10′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
  • 28′559909Trethomas Bluebirds
  • 32′573770Trethomas Bluebirds
  • 40′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)
  • 60′L. BishopCaerau (Ely)
  • 65′T. ParkerCaerau (Ely)

What had the model predicted before the match?

Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Caerau (Ely) win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 2-4.

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trethomas Bluebirds
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026llanelli AFC(away)1-1FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026Baglan Dragons(home)0-0FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026Barry Town(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Apr 18, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)1-1FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026Cardiff Draconians(home)4-4FAW Championship
Caerau (Ely)
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Ynyshir Albions(home)1-1FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)3-4FAW Championship
Jul 25, 2026Barnstaple Town(home)4-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Haverfordwest County AFC(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Evesham United(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win, 2 draws, 1 Caerau (Ely) win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 23, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds 1-5 Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2025Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship
Feb 21, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship
Aug 26, 2024Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) on Jan 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.1.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trethomas Bluebirds1.52.249/158/15
Caerau (Ely)2.31.177/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th in FAW Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Caerau (Ely)10613221819
8Trethomas Bluebirds10343201813

A question about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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Next match: Trethomas Bluebirds and Caerau (Ely)

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