Match

Treviso vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso

TrevisoLumezzane

The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treviso vs Lumezzane?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Treviso (1,786) and Lumezzane (1,751).

Treviso win42 %
Draw29 %
Lumezzane win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treviso have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treviso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Trento(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
May 13, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)0-2Serie D - Championship Round
May 10, 2026Vado(home)3-3Serie D - Championship Round
May 3, 2026Mestre(away)0-1Serie D - Girone C
Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ospitaletto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Renate(home)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026Cremonese(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Cittadella(away)0-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Alcione(home)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Treviso score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Treviso1.01.537/156/15
Lumezzane1.10.957/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treviso sit 13th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Treviso1001120
19Lumezzane1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treviso vs Lumezzane?
The Footlab model makes Treviso the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane.
Where and when is Treviso vs Lumezzane played?
Treviso vs Lumezzane is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Omobono Tenni, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Treviso and Lumezzane

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