Treviso vs Novara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Omobono Tenni, Treviso
The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treviso vs Novara?
On Elo ratings, Treviso has 1,740 points and Novara 1,677.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Treviso vs Novara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Treviso
4-3-3- 9C. Tommasini
- 17L. Paganini
- 29E. Gerbi
- 27R. Gucher
- 2A. Brigati
- 25F. Romeo
- 5D. Bove
- 8D. Cappelletti
- 13A. Maestrelli
- 94D. Liotti
- 30T. Nobile
Novara
4-3-3- 7E. Lanini
- 14M. Romano
- 9D. Zuppel
- 99G. Basso
- 19R. Collodel
- 11N. Ledonne
- 58M. Miceli
- 3S. Lartey
- 5F. Lorenzini
- 28A. Cannavaro
- 33F. Brancolini
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treviso have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Renate(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Treviso score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treviso sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Treviso vs Novara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treviso vs Novara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Novara.
- Where and when is Treviso vs Novara played?
- Treviso vs Novara is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Omobono Tenni, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.