Treze vs Guarany de Sobral: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 12, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro, Campina Grande, Paraíba
Full time
What was the result of Treze vs Guarany de Sobral?
Treze won 3-1 on August 12, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 21′BismarckGuarany de Sobral
- 23′Cristian Martins CabralTreze
- 33′Ivan Fiel da SilvaTreze (pen.)
- 81′Vagner Paulo da SilvaTreze (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Treze have 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Guarany de Sobral have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2012 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 24, 2012 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2012 | Luverdense(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Salgueiro(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 7, 2012 | Paysandu(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Treze score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Guarany de Sobral score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treze | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
| Guarany de Sobral | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy