Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ipojuca the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Guarany de Sobral. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ipojuca wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ipojuca (1,501) and Guarany de Sobral (1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ipojuca
Not enough data to predict the Ipojuca lineup.
Guarany de Sobral
4-3-3- DDaniel Passira
- GGeraldo Batista dos Santos Filho
- HHugo Freitas
- PPaulista
- MMattheus Silva
- DDim
- RRaí
- DDanilo Cirqueira
- AAirton Júnior
- AAndré Mascena
- TTheofilo Rufino Rodrigues
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipojuca have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guarany de Sobral have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Vera Cruz(away) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | América PE(home) | 2-4 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Centro Limoeirense(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Belo Jardim(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vera Cruz(home) | 3-1 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Crato(away) | 1-3 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Caucaia(away) | 4-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipojuca score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guarany de Sobral score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipojuca | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guarany de Sobral | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ipojuca the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Guarany de Sobral.
- Where and when is Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral played?
- Ipojuca vs Guarany de Sobral is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.