Triglav vs Krka: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, Kranj
The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Krka. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Triglav vs Krka?
Triglav starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,446).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triglav have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Krka have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudar(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Triglav win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Krka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Krka 0-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Triglav 2-2 Krka | 2. SNL |
| May 4, 2025 | Krka 0-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Triglav 3-0 Krka | 2. SNL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Krka 3-1 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Triglav 0-1 Krka | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Triglav score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Krka score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triglav | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Krka | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Triglav sit 11th in 2. SNL (3 points from 2 matches) and Krka sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Triglav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Krka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Triglav vs Krka?
- The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Krka.
- Where and when is Triglav vs Krka played?
- Triglav vs Krka is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.