Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Tríkalon, Trikala
The Footlab AI model makes Trikala the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Iraklis Larissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trikala wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,889 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa?
Trikala starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,516).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trikala
4-3-3- 33S. Milopoulos
- 11V. Efthymiou
- 39E. Zisopoulos
- 21C. Ioannidis
- 31C. Niaros
- 4P. Rizogiannis
- 22D. Sandravelis
- 16G. Govinas
- 23Z. Djaloshi
- 3K. Feutchine
- 12A. Përlleshi
Iraklis Larissa
4-3-3- 90F. Keri
- 95D. Casas
- 9O. Syrengelas
- 3K. Kamperis
- 31S. Gougoudis
- 25L. Bossio
- 4A. Galitsios
- 80D. Tasioulis
- 46G. Lagonidis
- 13M. Giannitsis
- 1S. Farmakis
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trikala have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Iraklis Larissa have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digenis Neochori(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarakinos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Larisa(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trikala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pierikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Trikala win, 0 draws, 0 Iraklis Larissa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa 0-1 Trikala | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Larissa vs Trikala on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trikala score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Larissa score 0.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trikala | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Iraklis Larissa | 0.5 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trikala sit 1st in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (6 points from 2 matches) and Iraklis Larissa sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trikala the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Iraklis Larissa.
- Where and when is Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa played?
- Trikala vs Iraklis Larissa is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Tríkalon, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.