Pierikos vs Sarakinos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Katerinis, Katerini
The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sarakinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pierikos vs Sarakinos?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Pierikos (1,522) and Sarakinos (1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pierikos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sarakinos have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kozani(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eordaikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Evosmou(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Asteras Kard.(home) | 6-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pierikos win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarakinos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Pierikos 3-2 Sarakinos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sarakinos 3-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Pierikos vs Sarakinos on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sarakinos score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarakinos | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pierikos vs Sarakinos?
- The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Sarakinos.
- Where and when is Pierikos vs Sarakinos played?
- Pierikos vs Sarakinos is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Katerinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.