Elassona vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, Elassona
The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ermis Exochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elassona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elassona vs Ermis Exochi?
On Elo ratings, Elassona has 1,653 points and Ermis Exochi 1,619.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elassona vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elassona
Not enough data to predict the Elassona lineup.
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elassona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Feraios(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Elassona wins, 0 draws, 1 Ermis Exochi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 3-1 Elassona | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Elassona on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elassona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elassona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elassona sit 4th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Elassona vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elassona vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elassona the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ermis Exochi.
- Where and when is Elassona vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Elassona vs Ermis Exochi is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Elassónas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.