Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tripoli Municipal Stadium, Tarabulus
Full time
What was the result of Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed?
Tripoli SC and Al Ahed drew 1-1 on October 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′582494Tripoli SC
- 20′579183Al Ahed
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Al Ahed win at 52%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tripoli SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Ahed have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2024 | Shabab Al Ghazieh(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2024 | Tadamon Sour(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2024 | Al Ahli Nabatiya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Al Hikma(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al Ansar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tripoli SC wins, 1 draw, 5 Al Ahed wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Tripoli SC 0-1 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Tripoli SC 0-4 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2021 | Tripoli SC 0-1 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2021 | Al Ahed 0-0 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Tripoli SC 0-2 Al Ahed | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2018 | Al Ahed 2-0 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tripoli SC score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahed score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tripoli SC | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Al Ahed | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tripoli SC sit 6th in Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Ahed sit 4th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ahed | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Tripoli SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Tripoli SC vs Al Ahed?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy