Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Canchas Curiel, Las Juntas
The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Tritons Vallarta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Irapuato wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,728 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato?
Irapuato starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,849).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
Irapuato
4-3-3- 28J. Gamboa
- 8C. Cruz
- 36J. Salazar
- 10J. Rangel
- 34J. Ruiz
- 6E. del Angel
- 16R. Sandoval
- 27G. Martínez
- 3V. Alvarado
- 32R. Castellanos
- 35A. Cabañas
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritons Vallarta have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Irapuato have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 3-0 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tritons Vallarta wins, 0 draws, 1 Irapuato win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Irapuato 1-0 Tritons Vallarta | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tritons Vallarta score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Irapuato score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Irapuato | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tritons Vallarta sit 17th in Primera Premier (5 points from 8 matches) and Irapuato sit 1st (27 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 27 |
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato?
- The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Tritons Vallarta.
- Where and when is Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato played?
- Tritons Vallarta vs Irapuato is played on February 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Canchas Curiel, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.