Tapachula vs Montañeses: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Montañeses. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tapachula wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs Montañeses?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Tapachula (1,840) and Montañeses (1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Montañeses
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Montañeses
Not enough data to predict the Montañeses lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Montañeses have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tapachula wins, 0 draws, 3 Montañeses wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses 2-1 Tapachula | Primera Premier |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Tapachula 3-1 Montañeses | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Montañeses 2-0 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Tapachula 3-2 Montañeses | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Montañeses 4-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Montañeses vs Tapachula on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Montañeses score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Montañeses | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 17th in Primera Premier (3 points from 6 matches) and Montañeses sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montañeses | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Tapachula vs Montañeses?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Montañeses?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Montañeses.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs Montañeses played?
- Tapachula vs Montañeses is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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