Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 02:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Lobos ULMX the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lobos ULMX wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Lobos ULMX (1,787) and H2O Purepechas (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos ULMX have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; H2O Purepechas have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lobos ULMX wins, 0 draws, 1 H2O Purepechas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas 2-0 Lobos ULMX | Primera Premier |
Last archived meeting: H2O Purepechas vs Lobos ULMX on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; H2O Purepechas score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| H2O Purepechas | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos ULMX sit 16th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and H2O Purepechas sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lobos ULMX the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for H2O Purepechas.
- Where and when is Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas played?
- Lobos ULMX vs H2O Purepechas is played on February 23, 2027 at 02:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.