Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,717).

Trival Valderas win52 %

Draw27 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trival Valderas win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Trival Valderas 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 12, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 21, 2024	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 14, 2023	Trival Valderas 0-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 11, 2022	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.