Where and when is Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II played?

Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés II

Rayo Vallecano II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,714).

Leganés II win49 %

Draw26 %

Rayo Vallecano II win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Rayo Vallecano II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Socuéllamos(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Intercity(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026	Elche II(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leganés II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 23, 2025	Rayo Vallecano II 0-3 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 10, 2024	Leganés II 0-3 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 10, 2024	Leganés II 2-1 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 24, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2021	Leganés II 1-0 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 4, 2021	Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Leganés II on Mar 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Rayo Vallecano II	0.6	2.3	1	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II played?: Leganés II vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.