Match

Fuenlabrada vs Torrejón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaTorrejón

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Torrejón?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,785) and Torrejón (1,785).

Fuenlabrada win38 %
Draw27 %
Torrejón win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Torrejón?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Torrejón.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Torrejón played?
Fuenlabrada vs Torrejón is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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