Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Unión Adarve (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Unión Adarve win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Unión Adarve 2-2 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Alcobendas Sport 2-2 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Unión Adarve 1-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Unión Adarve 3-4 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcobendas Sport sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (45 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport.
- Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve played?
- Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026FuenlabradavsTorrejón
- Sep 20, 2026Leganés IIvsRayo Vallecano II
- Sep 20, 2026MóstolesvsCala Pozuelo
- Sep 20, 2026Trival ValderasvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Sep 20, 2026GalapagarvsLas Rozas
- Sep 20, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Sep 20, 2026SS Reyes IIvsParla Escuela
- Sep 20, 2026RC AlcobendasvsReal Aranjuez