Match

Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda

Alcobendas SportUnión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Unión Adarve (1,799).

Alcobendas Sport win28 %
Draw27 %
Unión Adarve win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Unión Adarve win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025Unión Adarve 2-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 10, 2021Alcobendas Sport 2-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2020Unión Adarve 1-1 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 1, 2019Unión Adarve 3-4 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcobendas Sport sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (45 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Unión Adarve3415811484253
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve?
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve played?
Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alcobendas Sport and Unión Adarve

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