Billericay Town vs Truro City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Truro City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Truro City?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Billericay Town sit 8th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Truro City?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Truro City.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Truro City played?
- Billericay Town vs Truro City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsFarnborough
- Apr 10, 2027TorquayvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Apr 10, 2027DovervsWalton & Hersham
- Apr 10, 2027BraintreevsSalisbury
- Apr 10, 2027MaidenheadvsMaidstone Utd
- Apr 10, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDorking Wanderers
- Apr 10, 2027Weston-super-MarevsEbbsfleet United
- Apr 10, 2027Chesham UnitedvsTonbridge Angels