Where and when is Truro City vs Salisbury played?

Truro City vs Salisbury is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Truro City vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 3Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro City

Salisbury

The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Truro City (1,748) and Salisbury (1,756).

Truro City win44 %

Draw26 %

Salisbury win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Salisbury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Horsham(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	5-0	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Havant & Wville(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Frome Town(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Truro City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Salisbury win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Truro City 1-0 Salisbury	National League - South
Aug 20, 2024	Salisbury 1-1 Truro City	National League - South
Apr 19, 2023	Truro City 4-0 Salisbury	Non League Premier - Southern South
Oct 25, 2022	Salisbury 0-3 Truro City	Non League Premier - Southern South
Oct 9, 2022	Truro City 1-0 Salisbury	FA Trophy
Mar 15, 2022	Truro City 1-3 Salisbury	Non League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Salisbury on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15
Salisbury	2.3	1.3	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
15	Salisbury	3	1	1	1	6	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Salisbury?: The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Truro City vs Salisbury played?: Truro City vs Salisbury is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.