TS Galaxy vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
The Footlab model makes TS Galaxy the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TS Galaxy vs Durban City?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate TS Galaxy (1,727) and Durban City (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TS Galaxy have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Durban City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 12, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 TS Galaxy win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Durban City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Durban City 2-1 TS Galaxy | Cup |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Durban City 2-0 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | TS Galaxy 0-2 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Durban City 2-1 TS Galaxy | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs TS Galaxy on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TS Galaxy score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TS Galaxy sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Durban City sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TS Galaxy vs Durban City?
- The Footlab model makes TS Galaxy the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City.
- Where and when is TS Galaxy vs Durban City played?
- TS Galaxy vs Durban City is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Mbombela Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.