Polokwane City vs Kruger United: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Pietersburg
The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Kruger United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Kruger United?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Polokwane City (1,725) and Kruger United (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polokwane City have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kruger United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | The Bees(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kruger United score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Kruger United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polokwane City sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kruger United sit 16th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Kruger United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polokwane City vs Kruger United?
- The Footlab model makes Polokwane City the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Kruger United.
- Where and when is Polokwane City vs Kruger United played?
- Polokwane City vs Kruger United is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.