Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants?
Golden Arrows starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Marumo Gallants have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Golden Arrows win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Marumo Gallants win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 1-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Golden Arrows 2-2 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Golden Arrows 4-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Golden Arrows 2-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Golden Arrows 3-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Golden Arrows on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Marumo Gallants sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants played?
- Golden Arrows vs Marumo Gallants is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.