TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)TSC Arena, Bačka Topola
The Footlab AI model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Napredak. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
TSC Backa Topola starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,496).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TSC Backa Topola
4-3-3- 8S. Jovanović
- 9B. Burmaz
- 11M. Nešković
- 7M. Radin
- 17M. Milosavić
- 24A. Stojanović
- 30A. Stojković
- 4V. KrstiÄ
- 33Hayden Durose
- 22S. Jovanović
- 1N. Simić
Napredak
4-3-3- 95M. Zuvić
- 77N. Srećković
- 20N. Marinković
- 23A. Milić
- 4F. Krstić
- 27N. Bukumira
- 44L. Miladinović
- 11S. Milošević
- 2N. Janković
- 22A. Andrejević
- 1L. BaleviÄ
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSC Backa Topola have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Napredak have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 5-1 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 4-1 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 4-1 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 TSC Backa Topola wins, 1 draw, 0 Napredak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Napredak 1-2 TSC Backa Topola | Prva Liga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola 4-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Napredak 1-2 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | TSC Backa Topola 1-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | TSC Backa Topola 4-2 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Napredak 0-3 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSC Backa Topola score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Napredak | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSC Backa Topola sit 3rd in Prva Liga (27 points from 13 matches) and Napredak sit 10th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 14 | 27 |
| 10 | Napredak | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
A question about TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
- The Footlab AI model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Napredak.
- Where and when is TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak played?
- TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at TSC Arena, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.