TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)TSC Arena, Bačka Topola
The Footlab model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Napredak. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
TSC Backa Topola starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,678 vs 1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSC Backa Topola have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Napredak have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Javor(home) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 TSC Backa Topola win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Napredak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Napredak 1-2 TSC Backa Topola | Prva Liga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola 4-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Napredak 1-2 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | TSC Backa Topola 1-1 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | TSC Backa Topola 4-2 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Napredak 0-3 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Napredak vs TSC Backa Topola on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSC Backa Topola score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Napredak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSC Backa Topola sit 3rd in Prva Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Napredak sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TSC Backa Topola | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Napredak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak?
- The Footlab model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Napredak.
- Where and when is TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak played?
- TSC Backa Topola vs Napredak is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at TSC Arena, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.