TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, Haiger
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate TSV Steinbach (1,966) and FC 08 Homburg (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Steinbach have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC 08 Homburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(home) | 2-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 TSV Steinbach win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 FC 08 Homburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | TSV Steinbach 1-4 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 1-1 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 5, 2025 | TSV Steinbach 1-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 5, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 0-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 11, 2024 | TSV Steinbach 1-2 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 4, 2023 | FC 08 Homburg 3-0 TSV Steinbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Steinbach score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Steinbach | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Steinbach sit 9th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and FC 08 Homburg sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for TSV Steinbach.
- Where and when is TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg played?
- TSV Steinbach vs FC 08 Homburg is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsSV Sandhausen
- Sep 26, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsVfR Aalen
- Sep 26, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsEintracht Trier
- Sep 26, 2026Freiburg IIvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Sep 26, 2026Hessen KasselvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Sep 26, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFSV Frankfurt
- Sep 26, 2026SGV FreibergvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Sep 26, 2026VfR MannheimvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.