SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Stuttgarter Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,031) and Stuttgarter Kickers (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stuttgarter Kickers have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC 08 Villingen(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SGV Freiberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stuttgarter Kickers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 2-1 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Stuttgarter Kickers 1-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Stuttgarter Kickers 3-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 28, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 2-2 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 11, 2024 | Stuttgarter Kickers 1-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 4, 2023 | SGV Freiberg 0-2 Stuttgarter Kickers | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stuttgarter Kickers score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Stuttgarter Kickers | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Stuttgarter Kickers sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Stuttgarter Kickers.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsSV Sandhausen
- Sep 26, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsVfR Aalen
- Sep 26, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsEintracht Trier
- Sep 26, 2026TSV SteinbachvsFC 08 Homburg
- Sep 26, 2026Freiburg IIvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Sep 26, 2026Hessen KasselvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Sep 26, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFSV Frankfurt
- Sep 26, 2026VfR MannheimvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.