Tukums vs Daugavpils / Progress: result 1-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 28, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs Daugavpils / Progress?
Tukums won 1-0 on July 28, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Daugavpils / Progress have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2018 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 14, 2018 | RTU(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Preiļu BJSS(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 26, 2018 | Balvu(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2018 | Smiltene(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 14, 2018 | Staiceles Bebri(home) | 8-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 9, 2018 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 2, 2018 | RTU(home) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| May 26, 2018 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Daugavpils / Progress score 3.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Daugavpils / Progress | 3.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy