Tukums vs Ogre: result 2-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 1, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs Ogre?
Tukums won 2-1 on October 1, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ogre have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Olaine / Super Nova(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 6-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Auda(home) | 2-5 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Babīte(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2016 | RTU(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2016 | Smiltene(away) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 18, 2016 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Olaine / Super Nova(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Auda(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Tukums win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ogre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2016 | Ogre 1-2 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2015 | Tukums 0-2 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Ogre 3-3 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Tukums 7-0 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| May 1, 2014 | Ogre 5-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 3.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre score 1.7 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Ogre | 1.7 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy