Rio Verde vs Crixás EC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, Rio Verde, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Crixás EC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Verde vs Crixás EC?
Rio Verde starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Verde have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Crixás EC have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 3-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rio Verde win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Crixás EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Crixás EC 0-3 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Crixás EC vs Rio Verde on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crixás EC score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Crixás EC | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Verde sit 1st in Goiano - 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Crixás EC sit 8th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Crixás EC | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Verde vs Crixás EC?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Crixás EC.
- Where and when is Rio Verde vs Crixás EC played?
- Rio Verde vs Crixás EC is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.